There has been much chatter today about this line in Steve Richard’s piece in the Indy:
If he makes no headway in the polls between now and then, he will not lead Labour in to the next election and, I suspect, would not try to do so.
I am not convinced that Brown would go on his own accord. It is not in his nature. All prime ministers want a mandate - that was what the October 2007 episode was about. I once heard Callaghan say that his biggest regret was that he was never an elected prime minister. A health reason could be found but it would have to be very convincing. My guess is that there will be a small movement in the polls over the Summer. Brown will only want to fight one election. Unless the plotters get themselves organised (some hope) he will get his wish.


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