21 November 2009

Poll caution

There is a Ipsos-Mori poll out showing the Tory lead down to 6%.  The fieldwork was carried out in the immediate aftermath of the Glasgow North East by-election and before the Queen’s Speech:

CON 37%(-6), LAB 31%(+5), LDEM 17%(-2)

Anthony Wells rightly says:

As ever, I would urge extreme caution on any poll showing a large shift in voting intention, especially where there is no obvious reason for a large, short term movement.

We need a post Queen's Speech poll before jumping to any conclusions.  If the trend is confirmed we could be in for a very interesting few weeks as Labour MPs finally decide what to do about the leadership.

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  1. Makes sense to me. Voters are waking up to the fact that they don't really want an Heir to Blair and the spin an spivery that goes with it.