tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post2727313382541109657..comments2023-12-23T01:50:58.650+00:00Comments on Events Dear Boy, Events: Election fever Part II: Will it be March?Events dear boy, eventshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-23337203993259777012010-02-18T23:42:47.147+00:002010-02-18T23:42:47.147+00:00I agree with your logic. We will have to see what...I agree with your logic. We will have to see what unfolds over the next few days.<br /><br />What I find strange is that has been little comment on an early election. It just shows that the hacks exist by being fed spin and leaks and not much else.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-15218948857069521742010-02-18T23:07:55.360+00:002010-02-18T23:07:55.360+00:00My own view is that Brown's natural indecision...My own view is that Brown's natural indecision will push the election date back as far as possible.<br /><br />However, this scenario is certainly possible. A first quarter of negative growth is very likely because of the impact of the VAT rise, the bad weather and the traditional lack of cash at this time of year....plus the fact the government had to borrow in January for the first time since records began (normally the taxes roll in). This is probably the most damaging event that could occur for Brown....forget Chilcot by comparison!Jess The Doghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01694805454982688213noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-18986254645596958822010-02-18T20:17:49.257+00:002010-02-18T20:17:49.257+00:00I think Colostomy Brown is a much better nickname ...I think <a href="http://dungeekin.blogspot.com/2010/02/new-name-for-gordon.html" rel="nofollow">Colostomy Brown</a> is a much better nickname than Tactical Brown.Obnoxio The Clownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12012089552153702526noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-27232443660484670542010-02-18T16:25:58.606+00:002010-02-18T16:25:58.606+00:00On the other hand, if Brown doesn't kick start...On the other hand, if Brown doesn't kick start things next week then 6th May is a nailed-on certainty.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17061130472980076141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-28347325230398118252010-02-18T16:21:28.367+00:002010-02-18T16:21:28.367+00:00Although Cameron wouldn't be told officially u...Although Cameron wouldn't be told officially until the morning of the event, I think that if Brown's going to the Palace next week, it will become clear over the weekend that he's going to do so.<br /><br />Keep in mind that in recent times it's never been a surprise when the PM's taken that drive down the Mall. It's normally flagged several days in advance.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17061130472980076141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-67265020215960929372010-02-18T15:05:56.689+00:002010-02-18T15:05:56.689+00:00Dan, you have to read my earlier posts on Morgan. ...Dan, you have to read my earlier posts on Morgan. With respect, Guido's point is irrelevant.<br /><br />If Brown does go for March, Cameron will not be told until just before Brown goes the Palace, which will be Monday at the earliest.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-11341160006472227782010-02-18T15:01:33.563+00:002010-02-18T15:01:33.563+00:00My guess is that he will wait for a couple more po...My guess is that he will wait for a couple more polls. There is one due out tonight.<br /><br />Labour's private polls will not be much different to what we know.<br /><br />As of today, the economy is getting worse rather than improving. There is little point in him waiting until May.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-37184894622524135922010-02-18T15:01:14.688+00:002010-02-18T15:01:14.688+00:00Guido Fawkes reported earlier in the week that Tor...Guido Fawkes reported earlier in the week that Tory PPCs have been told to keep the Blackberry's switched on all weekend. While that's not indicative of anything concrete, it does suggest that they at least sniff something in the wind and want to be ready, just in case.<br /><br />Also, consider the timing of last week's Piers Morgan interview. It would seem to fit nicely into a Labour election timetable ;)Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17061130472980076141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-82047412896245825792010-02-18T14:47:37.880+00:002010-02-18T14:47:37.880+00:00Oh dear, I meant "that it may actually be the...Oh dear, I meant "that it may actually be the best time".<br /><br />Must read what I write more carefully.Hythlodaeushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13402232122699414720noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-67757520487576108332010-02-18T14:46:26.999+00:002010-02-18T14:46:26.999+00:00Great minds. I wrote a little post the other day s...Great minds. I wrote a little post the other day suggesting that may actually be the best time for Brown to call an election - hung parliament is probably the best he can hope for, so he should move before any possible Tory resurgence, it wrong-foots the smaller parties and possibly the Lib Dems and it prevents the country getting too sick of prolonged electioneering. <br /><br />We'll have to see, but if Brown has any sense, he'd move sooner rather then later.Hythlodaeushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13402232122699414720noreply@blogger.com