tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post1284529357500572498..comments2023-12-23T01:50:58.650+00:00Comments on Events Dear Boy, Events: Election fever Part VII: Is there any substance behind the latest rumour?Events dear boy, eventshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-73494369537473743662010-02-26T14:47:01.314+00:002010-02-26T14:47:01.314+00:00I am very grateful for this info and have just blo...I am very grateful for this info and have just blogged on it.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-82085303927095188262010-02-26T14:11:48.383+00:002010-02-26T14:11:48.383+00:00@Events dear boy, events
March election is still ...@Events dear boy, events<br /><br />March election is still possible:<br /><br /><i>Dissolution procedure<br />4.12 When the Prime Minister announces the date for the election he must also decide when Parliament will be dissolved. He can, if he so wishes, <b>seek the dissolution immediately in which case any and all outstanding legislation is lost.</b> More likely, there will be an interval between the announcement and the dissolution.<br />4.13 During this interval, usually referred to as the “wash-up” period...</i><br /><br />http://www.parliament.uk/commons/lib/research/briefings/snpc-05085.pdfTheBoilingFroghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00791961503315586243noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-113956526768200732010-02-26T10:57:46.289+00:002010-02-26T10:57:46.289+00:00Jess, I am told my someone that knows about these ...Jess, I am told my someone that knows about these things that Q1 2010 GDP figures are likely to be positive, but who can tell two months out.<br /><br />I don't see how Brown can get out of Chilcot now the date is fixed.<br /><br />To my knowledge, there is no Labour spring conference. No money.<br /><br />Cameron may still win, but he has messed up. See my later post.<br /><br />I have looked into the March election. It is too late, as I have said.<br /><br />Remember that Labour has no money and having an earlier election will just compound this. <br /><br />An April poll could happen, but I have my doubts and so does Guido now, and he should now.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-49647646017290774262010-02-26T10:35:17.027+00:002010-02-26T10:35:17.027+00:00Best time to call an election is soon, to overshad...Best time to call an election is soon, to overshadow the Tory conference and any post-Chilcot fallout for Brown.<br /><br />2009Q4 GDP growth figures have been revised upwards to 0.3%. Possibly good news but not if they fall in 2010Q1 which is quite likely, following the VAT increase, bad weather and general lack of cash at this time of the year. GDP fluctuates on a quarterly basis in any case, not much to worry about usually....unless you're looking for sustained growth.<br /><br />No sign of a Labour 2010 Spring conference....is there to be one? 2009 was cancelled. I'd expect one to kick off a general election campaign and get some free publicity.<br /><br />Tories poll lead is still disappointing. Political Betting has an interesting post on unweighted versus weighting. Same with the marginals and recent polling points to bigger swings there. <br /><br />At some point this can become the equivalent of looking at the entrails to guess the future and Team Cameron should simply be getting on with it. My guess is that there is an anti-politics feeling out there coupled with the fact the shine has come off the Tories. No great game-changing moments though and we're still on for a modest Tory majority.Jess The Doghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01694805454982688213noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-17733932552875711662010-02-26T07:46:32.862+00:002010-02-26T07:46:32.862+00:00Brown is stepping down
In my watersBrown is stepping down<br /><br />In my watersAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-81018885892438636392010-02-26T07:12:38.913+00:002010-02-26T07:12:38.913+00:00In truth nobody knows, but it won't stop the s...In truth nobody knows, but it won't stop the speculation.<br /><br />The question is: Has there been a change in the national mood towards the Tories? I will come back to this.Events dear boy, eventshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13027032420000802501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6905040611865595428.post-56182885520514234562010-02-26T07:01:43.988+00:002010-02-26T07:01:43.988+00:00Very interesting things going on behind the scenes...Very interesting things going on behind the scenes no doubt.<br /><br />Excellent little story about Wilson as well. I'll have to remember that one.Hythlodaeushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13402232122699414720noreply@blogger.com